How Weather Impacts Your Bottom Line: Analyzing Historical Data

Understanding how weather affects your business performance can give you a competitive edge in planning and forecasting. The Weather Stats add-on for Google Sheets provides a powerful way to correlate historical weather data with your business metrics. Here’s how to leverage this tool effectively.

Setting Up Your Analysis

Start by installing the Weather Stats add-on from the Google Workspace Marketplace. Once installed, you’ll need your spreadsheet’s historical business data organized by date.

Pulling Weather Data

Using the Weather Stats menu, select “Hours” or “Days.”

A selector in Weather Stats to choose between Days or Hours
Select Your Interval

Input your business location and date range matching your business data. Key weather metrics to consider include:

  • Temperature (mean, minimum, and maximum)
  • Cloud cover
  • Precipitation

Once you import the appropriate weather stats, it is time to relate them to your pre-existing data. Common metrics to analyze include daily sales, foot traffic, or service calls.

Creating Meaningful Correlations

With both datasets in place, use Google Sheets correlation functions to identify relationships. For example, you might discover that:

  • Ice cream sales spike when temperatures exceed 85°F
  • Restaurant delivery orders increase during rainy days
  • Retail foot traffic drops significantly during snowstorms
  • HVAC service calls correlate with extreme temperatures in either direction
The CORREL function showing the correlation between weather and sales
Correlation Between Weather and Sales

In this example, we used the CORREL function to quantify the correlation strength between the business data and the weather. In the example above, we see there is a strong positive correlation between temp (temperature) and Units Sold and a weak correlation between cloud cover and precipitation and Units Sold.

Visualization and Analysis

Create scatter plots to visualize relationships between weather conditions and business performance. Use Excel’s trendline feature to quantify the strength of these correlations. Pay special attention to:

  • Seasonal patterns
  • Day-of-week variations
  • Holiday effects combined with weather
  • Extreme weather events
Scatter plot of temperature and units sold

Actionable Insights

Use your findings to:

  1. Adjust staffing levels based on weather forecasts
  2. Optimize inventory management
  3. Plan promotional activities around favorable weather conditions
  4. Set realistic performance expectations during challenging weather

Remember that correlation doesn’t always equal causation. Consider other factors that might influence your business metrics alongside weather patterns. Regular analysis and refinement of your weather-business correlations will help you make increasingly accurate predictions over time.

Video | How to Use Weather Stats

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